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From:
Dennis Raphael <[log in to unmask]>
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Health Promotion on the Internet <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 21 Sep 2001 11:49:19 -0400
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International Journal of Epidemiology 2001;30:440-441



© International Epidemiological Association 2001  Reiterations Commentary: A radical future for public health Douglas L Weed Chief, Office of Preventive Oncology, National Cancer Institute, EPS T-41, 6130 Executive Blvd, Bethesda, MD 20892?7105, USA. E-mail: [log in to unmask] Keywords causation, epidemiology, ethics, prevention, public health, screening radical1 adj 1. of or relating to the root or origin: FUNDAMENTAL 2. marked by a  considerable departure from the usual or traditional: EXTREME: DRASTIC With this reprinting of 'Sick individuals and sick populations,'2 Rose's ideas deservedly attain the status of 'not to be forgotten' in the annals of epidemiology and public health. But let us not wax too historic; we remember his contributions for their staying power, having achieved the rare status of being current and remarkably prescient. Hundreds of references over the past 15 years confirm that his ideas continue to strike a deep resonant chord. Three central themes are most often cited: there are two types of causal explanations, those of individual susceptibility and those of population incidence rates;3?23 there are two corresponding strategies for prevention: 'high risk' and 'population';8,14?21 and lastly, applying the 'population' strategy of prevention incurs the paradoxical effect of small benefit to each individual and a much greater benefit to the population.17,22?28 These ideas have served us well and will continue to do so long into the future. Rose had a knack for carefully reasoned arguments, rich in theoretical detail and practical significance. His is a radical future, consistent with our deepest  convictions about the fundamental nature of public health29 but also a serious challenge to traditional views. Flowing through Rose's writings are the roots of public health: prevention and community, science and its methods, and society in all its complexity. His pronouncements about public health's future, however, are as startling as they are refreshing. The best example is Rose's assertion that our priority should always (his word, my emphasis) be the discovery of causes of incidence and the population strategy of prevention. Rose even labels this strategy 'radical' because it requires wide-ranging changes in social norms of behaviour. But this rhetorical hook pales in comparison to what he articulates about the future of the other, individually based, prevention strategy. Screening and other high-risk prevention strategies are something we may eventually abandon; Rose asserts that individual  susceptibility will 'cease to matter' if the underlying causes of incidence are removed. This is radical stuff, considering our current and intense interest in genetics and the molecular nature of disease. So as we rush into the 21st Century, mapping genes, seeking biomarkers, and wringing our collective hands over the dangers and promises of genetic screening, remember that preventing disease and injury in populations crowns our list of priorities. Seat belts, immunizations, folic acid fortification, fluoridation, and anti-smoking efforts are a few obvious examples. And although there is a choice between controlling 'these' sorts of causes or 'those' sorts of causes?incidence and susceptibility respectively?preventing disease in populations by controlling  the causes of incidence is the bottom line. That normative claim is precisely where Rose ends this now-classic contribution to our literature. Looking back over this paper from its radical perch on the moral high ground, we  find a careful examination of the pros and cons of the two approaches to prevention, given a conceptual scientific framework, a theory of disease causation if you will, comprised of two major categories of causes. There are causes that determine susceptibility?genes and the like?and those that we are exposed to: toxins, infectious agents, diet and other lifestyle choices, and a host of environmental factors, some natural, some man-made. The latter category of causes drives population-based incidence events and rates; the former how individuals respond to these same exposures. Rose recognizes the interconnectedness of these conceptual  causal pathways to disease and, from what I can gather, would never have recommended that science stop its solipsistic crusade to uncover the origins of disease wherever they are found. Put another way, in epidemiology's recent 'black box' debate about biology versus society in epidemiology,30 I cannot see Rose taking one side or another. He is neither for biology alone nor for society alone. He is truly an eco-epidemiologist, able and willing to explain the aetiology of disease across the full spectrum of scientific knowledge. But prevention?how it is to be done and who will do it?is a very different story. When applying scientific knowledge, Rose is clear not only about the priority of the population-based approach but also about who will use it. As one commentator  put it, citing Rose, prevention is everyone's business and everyone's responsibility.15 Rose fingers physicians as messengers of prevention2 and society31 and each individual 'subject'.2 Quoting Dostoyevsky, Rose boldly proposes that everyone bears the responsibility of prevention.31 It follows that every member of the public health professions?each and every epidemiologist ?has an important role to play in participatory decision making, not as just another member of society, but one with special knowledge and training and expertise and, above all, a commitment to public health practice. Once again, Rose fires up a radical future, this time pointing his guns directly at those epidemiologists who, anxious to stay as far away as possible from direct participation in beneficent decisions, avoid with great solemnity the practice of public health as they worship at the altar of scientific objectivity.32?35 All this talk of who bears the responsibility for prevention is just another way  of saying that there is a prominent ethic at the heart of Rose's philosophy of public health. It is an ethic congruent with the emerging scholarship from bioethicists  and practitioners alike on the philosophical and ethical foundations of public health.29,36?39 It is an ethic of shared, community responsibility; it is an ethic with beneficence and respect for populations (and people) at its core; it is an ethic of human rights and social justice, of commitment to the ideal inquiry of objective  science and to the careful application of technological knowledge. Rose's ethic, in other words, is radically fundamental, radiating out from the deep root of humanity from which public health derives its sustenance. Acknowledgments Many thanks to Drs David Berrigan, Lori Beth Dixon, and Rachael Stolzenberg-Solomon for helpful comments on an earlier draft. References 1 Webster's Third International Dictionary (unabridged). Springfield, MA: Merriam Webster, 1993, 1872. 2 Rose G. Sick individuals and sick populations. Int J Epidemiol 1985; 14:32?38.[Abstract] 3 Marmot MG. Epidemiology and the art of the soluble. Lancet 1986; 1(8486):897?900. 4 Krieger N. Re: "Who made John Snow a hero?" Am J Epidemiol 1992; 135:450?51.[Medline] 5 Susser M. The logic in ecological: II. The logic of design. Am J Public Health  1994;84:830?35.[Medline] 6 Montesano R. Proceedings of the International Symposium on Causes of Human Cancer. Eur J Cancer Prevention 1996;5:367?420. 7 Shy CM. The failure of academic epidemiology: witness for the prosecution. Am J Epidemiol 1997;145:479?84.[Abstract] 8 Sorensen G, Emmons K, Hunt MK, Johnston D. Implications of the results of community intervention trials. Annu Rev Pub Health 1998; 19:379?416. 9 Krieger N. Questioning epidemiology: objectivity, advocacy, and socially responsible science. Am J Public Health 1999;89:1151?53.[Medline] 10 Schwartz S, Carpenter KM. The right answer for the wrong questions: consequences of type III error for public health research. Am J Public Health 1999;89:1175?80.[Medline] 11 McMichael AJ. Prisoners of the proximate: loosening the constraints on epidemiology in an age of change. Am J Epidemiol 1999;149:887?97.[Abstract] 12 Sans S. Is there coherent pan-European epidemiology? What do the numbers mean? Eur Soc Cardiol 1999;1:SJ2-6. 13 Vainio H. Biomarkers in the identification of risks, especially with regard to susceptible persons and subgroups. Scan J Work Env Health 1999;25:1?3. 14 Guidotti TL. Health promotion in perspective. Can J Public Health 1989;80:400?05.[Medline] 15 Waine C. James Mackenzie Lecture 1988. Everyone's business?everyone's responsibility. J Roy Coll of Gen Prac 1989;39:5?10. 16 Colditz GA, Gortmaker SL. Cancer prevention strategies for the future: risk identification and preventive intervention. Milbank Quarterly 1995;73:621?51.[Medline] 17 Marshall KG. Prevention. How much harm? How much benefit? 4. The ethics of informed consent for preventive screening programs. Can Med Assoc J 1996;155:377?83. 18 Sachs L. Causality, responsibility and blame?core issues in the cultural construction and subtext of prevention. Soc Health & Illness 1996;18:632?52. 19 Guttman N. Ethical dilemmas in health campaigns. Health Commun 1997;9:155?90. 20 Savitz DA. The alternative to epidemiologic theory: whatever works. Epidemiol  1997;8:210?12. 21 Van de Vathorst S, Alvarez-Dardet C. Doctors as judges: the verdict on responsibility for health. J Epidemiol Community Health 2000;54: 162?64.[Full Text] 22 Vineis P, Faggiano F. Epidemiological models and prevention of cancer. Ann Onc 1991;2:559?63. 23 Naylor CD, Frank JW. Paradoxic paradoxes. Ann Int Med 1992;117: 534?35.[Medline] 24 Smith GD, Egger M. Who benefits from medical interventions? Br Med J 1994;308:72?74.[Full Text] 25 Asch DA, Hershey JC. Why some health policies don't make sense at the bedside. Am Coll Physicians 1995;122:846?50. 26 Guttman N, Kegler M, McLeroy K. Health promotion paradoxes, antinomies and conundrums. Health Ed Res 1996;11:i?xii. 27 Cleare AJ, Wessely SC. Just what the doctor ordered?more alcohol and sex; anything I want to do is illegal, fattening, or causes cancer in mice. Br Med J 1997;315:1637?38.[Full Text] 28 McKinlay JB. Paradigmatic obstacles to improving the health of population?implications for health policy. Salud Pública de México 1998;40:369?79. 29 Beauchamp DE. Philosophy of public health. In: Reich WT (ed.). Encyclopedia of Bioethics. New York: MacMillan 1995;4:2161?66. 30 Weed DL. Beyond black box epidemiology. Am J Public Health 1998; 88:12?14.[Medline] 31 Rose G. The strategy of preventive medicine. New York, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1992. 32 Rothman KJ, Poole C. Science and policymaking. Am J Public Health 1985;75:340?41.[Medline] 33 Poole C, Rothman KJ. Epidemiologic science and public health policy. J Clin Epidemiol 1990;43:1270?71.[Medline] 34 Savitz DA, Poole C, Miller WC. Reassessing the role of epidemiology in public  health. Am J Pub Health 1999;89:1158?61. 35 Adami HO, Trichopoulos D. Epidemiology, medicine, and public health. Int J Epidemiol 1999;28:S1005?08.[Medline] 36 Weed DL. Towards a philosophy of public health. J Epidemiol Community Health 1999;53:99?104.[Medline] 37 Beauchamp DE, Steinbock B. New ethics for the public's health. New York, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1999. 38 Buchanan DR. An Ethic for Health Promotion. New York, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000. 39 Weed DL. Philosophy of public health. In: Breslow L (ed.). Encyclopedia of Public Health. New York: MacMillan, 2001 (In press).

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