If the Liberals and Conservatives are indeed tied at 38% in Ontario, then the
outcome of this election is still up in the air.

Quoting Dennis Raphael <[log in to unmask]>:

> can't help myself :-)
> -------------------------------------------------
> CPAC-SES tracking  has the Harper-led Conservatives ahead of the Martin 
> Liberals by seven  points.  National support for the  Conservatives stands 
> at 37%, followed by the Liberals at 30%, the NDP at 18%,  the BQ at 10% 
> and the Green  Party at 4%.  In the key  battleground of Ontariothe 
> Liberals have regained some ground  and are now tied with the 
> Conservatives at 38%.  The Harper lead over Martin as the best  PM is four 
> points."  ? Nik Nanos, President, SES Research.  
> 
>  
> Polling January 14 to 16, 2006 (Random  Telephone Survey of 1,200 
> Canadians, MoE ± 2.9%, 19 times out of 20).  Percentages may not add up to 
> 100 due to rounding. Our tracking polls allow for  a daily barometer on 
> the activities of the respective campaigns.Longitudinal tracking charts on 
> all measures can be found at the SES website at  www.sesresearch.com.
> 
> 
> 
> All  values in parenthesis are changes from our first day of tracking on 
> December 1,  2005.
> 
>  
> 
> CanadaDecided Voters  (Tracking ended January 16, 2006)
> 
> CP 37%  (+8)
> 
> LIB 30%  (-7)
> 
> NDP 18%  (+3)
> 
> BQ 10%  (-4)
> 
> GP 4  (-1)
> 
> *16% of Canadians were  undecided (NC)
> 
>  
> 
> In Quebec
> 
> BQ 44% (-6) 
> 
> CP 22%  (+13)
> 
> LIB 20%  (-10)
> 
> NDP 12%  (+6)
> 
> GP 3%  (-3)
> 
> *21% of Quebecers were  undecided (+10)
> 
>  
> 
> Outside Quebec
> 
> CP 41%  (+4)
> 
> LIB 34%  (-5)
> 
> NDP 20%  (+1)
> 
> GP 5%  (NC)
> 
> *14% of Canadians outside  Quebecwere  undecided (-3)
> 
>  
> 
> In Ontario
> 
> CP 38%  (+5)
> 
> LIB 38%  (-5)
> 
> NDP 20%  (+2)
> 
> GP 4%  (-1)
> 
> *16% of Canadians outside  Quebecwere  undecided (-4)
> 
>  
> 
> Best  PM
> 
> Harper 29%  (+8)
> 
> Martin 25%  (-4)
> 
> Layton16%  (+2)
> 
> Unsure 15%  (-2)
> 
> None 8%  (-4)
> 
> Duceppe 5%  (-1)
> 
> Harris 1%  (-1)
> 
>  
> 
> Leadership Index [Daily  composite of the Leaders' Trust, Competence and 
> Vision]*
> 
> Martin 73  (-2)
> 
> Harper 68  (+4)
> 
> Layton48  (-10)
> 
> Duceppe 24  (-3)
> 
> Harris 8  (+3)
> 
> * Change for this measure  is from yesterday's composite score.
> 
>  
> 
> On the SES website  (www.sesresearch.com), we post updated daily 
> longitudinal tracking chart,  regional breakdowns and details on the 
> questions and the methodology each  afternoon. Watch PrimeTime Politics at 
> 8 pm EST (Monday to Friday) to get a  detailed briefing of the numbers.
> 
> For any media use of the  polling data, we need to clearly identify the 
> sponsor (CPAC) in accordance with  the Elections Act.  Please refer to the 
> research as the CPAC-SES Nightly Tracking.
> 
> Feel free to forward this  e-mail.
> 
> Cheers,
> 
> Nik
> 
> -------------------------------------
> 
> Nikita James Nanos,  CMRP
> 
> President &  CEO
> 
> SES  Research
> 
> T 613.234.4666 ext.  237
> 
> www.sesresearch.com
> 
>  
> 
> Please send any requests  for media interviews via email to
> [log in to unmask]
> 
>  
> To  receive instant e-mail updates on Canada's latest polling visit
> www.sesresearch.com and sign up in our  "Get Wired" section.
> 
> 
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