If the Liberals and Conservatives are indeed tied at 38% in Ontario, then the
outcome of this election is still up in the air.
Quoting Dennis Raphael <[log in to unmask]>:
> can't help myself :-)
> -------------------------------------------------
> CPAC-SES tracking has the Harper-led Conservatives ahead of the Martin
> Liberals by seven points. National support for the Conservatives stands
> at 37%, followed by the Liberals at 30%, the NDP at 18%, the BQ at 10%
> and the Green Party at 4%. In the key battleground of Ontariothe
> Liberals have regained some ground and are now tied with the
> Conservatives at 38%. The Harper lead over Martin as the best PM is four
> points." ? Nik Nanos, President, SES Research.
>
>
> Polling January 14 to 16, 2006 (Random Telephone Survey of 1,200
> Canadians, MoE ± 2.9%, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not add up to
> 100 due to rounding. Our tracking polls allow for a daily barometer on
> the activities of the respective campaigns.Longitudinal tracking charts on
> all measures can be found at the SES website at www.sesresearch.com.
>
>
>
> All values in parenthesis are changes from our first day of tracking on
> December 1, 2005.
>
>
>
> CanadaDecided Voters (Tracking ended January 16, 2006)
>
> CP 37% (+8)
>
> LIB 30% (-7)
>
> NDP 18% (+3)
>
> BQ 10% (-4)
>
> GP 4 (-1)
>
> *16% of Canadians were undecided (NC)
>
>
>
> In Quebec
>
> BQ 44% (-6)
>
> CP 22% (+13)
>
> LIB 20% (-10)
>
> NDP 12% (+6)
>
> GP 3% (-3)
>
> *21% of Quebecers were undecided (+10)
>
>
>
> Outside Quebec
>
> CP 41% (+4)
>
> LIB 34% (-5)
>
> NDP 20% (+1)
>
> GP 5% (NC)
>
> *14% of Canadians outside Quebecwere undecided (-3)
>
>
>
> In Ontario
>
> CP 38% (+5)
>
> LIB 38% (-5)
>
> NDP 20% (+2)
>
> GP 4% (-1)
>
> *16% of Canadians outside Quebecwere undecided (-4)
>
>
>
> Best PM
>
> Harper 29% (+8)
>
> Martin 25% (-4)
>
> Layton16% (+2)
>
> Unsure 15% (-2)
>
> None 8% (-4)
>
> Duceppe 5% (-1)
>
> Harris 1% (-1)
>
>
>
> Leadership Index [Daily composite of the Leaders' Trust, Competence and
> Vision]*
>
> Martin 73 (-2)
>
> Harper 68 (+4)
>
> Layton48 (-10)
>
> Duceppe 24 (-3)
>
> Harris 8 (+3)
>
> * Change for this measure is from yesterday's composite score.
>
>
>
> On the SES website (www.sesresearch.com), we post updated daily
> longitudinal tracking chart, regional breakdowns and details on the
> questions and the methodology each afternoon. Watch PrimeTime Politics at
> 8 pm EST (Monday to Friday) to get a detailed briefing of the numbers.
>
> For any media use of the polling data, we need to clearly identify the
> sponsor (CPAC) in accordance with the Elections Act. Please refer to the
> research as the CPAC-SES Nightly Tracking.
>
> Feel free to forward this e-mail.
>
> Cheers,
>
> Nik
>
> -------------------------------------
>
> Nikita James Nanos, CMRP
>
> President & CEO
>
> SES Research
>
> T 613.234.4666 ext. 237
>
> www.sesresearch.com
>
>
>
> Please send any requests for media interviews via email to
> [log in to unmask]
>
>
> To receive instant e-mail updates on Canada's latest polling visit
> www.sesresearch.com and sign up in our "Get Wired" section.
>
>
> -------------------
> Problems/Questions? Send it to Listserv owner: [log in to unmask]
>
>
> To unsubscribe, send the following message in the text section -- NOT the
> subject header -- to [log in to unmask]
> SIGNOFF SDOH
>
> DO NOT SEND IT BY HITTING THE REPLY BUTTON. THIS SENDS THE MESSAGE TO THE
> ENTIRE LISTSERV AND STILL DOES NOT REMOVE YOU.
>
> To subscribe to the SDOH list, send the following message to
> [log in to unmask] in the text section, NOT in the subject header.
> SUBSCRIBE SDOH yourfirstname yourlastname
>
> To post a message to all 1000+ subscribers, send it to [log in to unmask]
> Include in the Subject, its content, and location and date, if relevant.
>
> For a list of SDOH members, send a request to [log in to unmask]
>
> To receive messages only once a day, send the following message to
> [log in to unmask]
> SET SDOH DIGEST
>
> To view the SDOH archives, go to:
> https://listserv.yorku.ca/archives/sdoh.html
>
-------------------
Problems/Questions? Send it to Listserv owner: [log in to unmask]
To unsubscribe, send the following message in the text section -- NOT the subject header -- to [log in to unmask]
SIGNOFF SDOH
DO NOT SEND IT BY HITTING THE REPLY BUTTON. THIS SENDS THE MESSAGE TO THE ENTIRE LISTSERV AND STILL DOES NOT REMOVE YOU.
To subscribe to the SDOH list, send the following message to [log in to unmask] in the text section, NOT in the subject header.
SUBSCRIBE SDOH yourfirstname yourlastname
To post a message to all 1000+ subscribers, send it to [log in to unmask]
Include in the Subject, its content, and location and date, if relevant.
For a list of SDOH members, send a request to [log in to unmask]
To receive messages only once a day, send the following message to [log in to unmask]
SET SDOH DIGEST
To view the SDOH archives, go to: https://listserv.yorku.ca/archives/sdoh.html
|