The reversal of recently agreed to programs like the daycare agreements and 
the Kelowna conference dealing with aboriginal issues may be more likely 
than we think.  Federal funding commitments for the daycare agreement are 
guaranteed for only one year and the official position of the Conservatives 
toward Kelowna is not favourable.  Also, the Liberals may campaign as 
centre/left but tend to govern as centre/right, although it's yet to be seen 
how they will act in opposition.  Notwithstanding the upheaval of a 
leadership race, the Liberals may move to recapture the centre/right 
support, especially that of elite sectors of Canadian society, that the 
Conservatives better mobilized this time around.  This does not bode well 
for working class and working poor Canadians.  Moreover, the Bloc's agenda 
ultimately prioritizes "Québec's interests", and accordingly the Bloc acts 
pragmatically in Parliament.  Last night, Mr. Duceppe said that if the 
Conservatives enact policies that favour Québec's interests (e.g. dealing 
with "fiscal imbalance, "respecting" provincial jurisdiction), he's more 
than willing to work with them.  Having said all this, the Conservatives' 
minority status likely means that they will tread carefully, sticking to the 
more popular elements of their platform (e.g. GST cut, government ethics 
package).  This combined with a stronger NDP caucus may check their 
neoconservative agenda.

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Dennis Raphael" <[log in to unmask]>
To: <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Tuesday, January 24, 2006 9:02 AM
Subject: [SDOH] Canadian Welfare State (weak as it is) Unlikely to be 
Dismantled


> Results from Canadian Election
>
> Conservatives     124
> Liberals          103
> Bloc Quebecois    51
> NDP         29
> Other       1
>
> Needed for Majority 155
>
> Considering that the NDP and Bloc are social democratic parties and the
> Liberals more or less Centre/Left, it seems unlikely Harper will be able 
> to
> reverse recent housing and daycare agreements between the Federal Govt and
> the Provinces.
>
> dr
>
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