Thanks!

CQ

On 15-Mar-07, at 10:11 AM, Dennis Raphael wrote:

> from Chapter 11 in Raphael, forthcoming
>
>  Among developed nations, left cabinet share is the best predictor  
> of child
> poverty rates. Rainwater and Smeeding found a striking relationship  
> between
> left cabinet share in national governments from 1946 to the 1990s  
> and child
> poverty rates (Rainwater & Smeeding, 2003). Among 14 nations  
> between 1946
> and 1990, the presence of left parties in national government was  
> strongly
> related to the probability that a child would not experience  
> poverty.  The
> correlation was a very strong .84. Sweden for example, had a 32% left
> cabinet share with 42-1 odds of escaping child poverty. Belgium has  
> a 13%
> left cabinet share and a 18-1 odds of escaping child poverty.  
> Canada has 0%
> left cabinet share and 7% odds of escaping child poverty.
>       What exactly is left cabinet share?  This term refers to having
> members of a social democratic or left party involved in running  
> government
> by being in cabinet. Canada has never had a member of a left party in
> federal cabinet. Canada has had however, left influence during  
> minority
> government situations. The welfare state institutions of medicare and
> public pensions were established during periods of minority  
> government rule
> in which the NDP held the balance of power.
>     Brady studied 16 western democracies for the period 1967 to  
> 1997 and
> looked at the impact of left political institutions on a nation’s  
> poverty
> rate (Brady, 2003). The findings showed that the power of left  
> political
> institutions have a powerful effect on poverty reduction.  It does so
> through processes of high voter turnout and support of left parties  
> that
> support the welfare state. In addition, coordination of wage  
> negotiation --
> a result of strong union density -- combines with welfare state  
> policy to
> reduce poverty. While the welfare state is an essential determinant of
> poverty, left political institutions are critical to understanding
> comparative historical variation in both the strength of welfare  
> states and
> level of poverty among the population.
>       During the federal minority government in 2005, the NDP held the
> balance of power. During the Spring 2005 budget negotiations, the NDP
> offered its support for the minority Liberal government in return for
> significant added spending for childcare, social housing, and public
> transportation. This resulted in the suspension of planned tax  
> reductions
> to the corporate sector and additional social spending. This is an  
> example
> of left influence upon poverty-related public policy.
>
>
> Brady, D. (2003). The politics of poverty: Left political  
> institutions, the
> welfare state, and poverty. Social Forces, 82, 557-588.
> Rainwater, L., & Smeeding, T. M. (2003). Poor Kids in a Rich Country:
> America's Children in Comparative Perspective. New York: Russell Sage
> Foundation.
>
>  see also
>
> Alesina, A., & Glaeser, E. L. (2004). Fighting Poverty in the US and
> Europe: A World of Difference. Toronto: Oxford University Press.
>
>
>
> Carlos Quinonez <[log in to unmask]>@YORKU.CA> on 15/03/2007
> 09:39:49 AM
>
>
> Please respond to Social Determinants of Health <[log in to unmask]>
> Sent by:    Social Determinants of Health <[log in to unmask]>
>
> To:   [log in to unmask]
> cc:
>
>
>
> Subject:    Re: [SDOH] NDP speech on social determinants of health
>
>
>
> Wow, I didn't know that the strength of, and support for, social
> democratic political parties in the single best predictor for these
> states of affairs. Can you provide some quick references please?
> That's surprising, but it makes sense in a way.
>
> And a minority government where a social democratic party hold the
> balance of power, hey, isn't that right now?!
>
> So I guess there's no better time for change!
>
> CQ
>
>
>
> On 15-Mar-07, at 9:23 AM, Dennis Raphael wrote:
>
>> The single best predictor of low poverty rates, a developed welfare
>> state,
>> and income and social security of citizens in developed nations is
>> strength
>> of, and support for, social democratic political parties. Period.
>>
>> While we may consider the forces that lead to such support, and the
>> need
>> for popular education and communiy mobilization, that is the absolute
>> bottom line.
>>
>> The history of social advances in Canada, the UK, and yes, even the
>> USA,
>> provides ample evidence of this fact. Public pensions and medicare in
>> Canada only came about during Minority governments where a social
>> democratic party held the balance of power.
>>
>> Nuff said.
>>
>> On another note we have known Jack Layton for close to 25 years.
>> He is the
>> most dedicated, sincere, honest, and bright elected representative
>> we have
>> ever known.  And his personal attributes have been backed up by solid
>> achievements. The Healthy City Movement was established in Toronto
>> while he
>> was chair of the Board of Health...
>> --------------------------------------------------
>> Layton helped spur the most innovative projects the city has seen  
>> in a
>> generation:
>>
>> -Canada’s first municipally-sponsored AIDS strategy, which became a
>> nationwide model.
>> -Deep lakewater cooling of downtown office buildings, celebrated by
>> environmentalist Robert Kennedy Jr.
>> -The Healthy Cities model, adopted by the WHO and emulated in
>> cities around
>> the world.
>> -The White Ribbon Campaign, which became a global movement of men
>> speaking
>> out against violence against women.
>> -The first urban wind turbine in Canada, cooperatively owned – and
>> generating enough clean electricity to light 250 homes.
>> -The largest building renovation project in Canadian history, the
>> Better
>> Buildings Partnership, which paid for energy retrofits through future
>> energy savings.
>>
>> dr
>>
>> dr
>>
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