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Subject:	Re: On another note...If a Canadian election were held today (Out of office....)
From:	"Wil (Public Health) Ng" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:	Social Determinants of Health <[log in to unmask]>
Date:	Thu, 16 Feb 2006 17:23:43 -0500
Content-Type:	text/plain
Parts/Attachments:	text/plain (117 lines)

I will be on vacation from February 17 to February 24, 2006, inclusive.
I will respond to your message upon my return.

_______________________
Wil Ng, MHSc
Epidemiologist
Health Information & Planning
Planning & Policy, Toronto Public Health
277 Victoria Street, 7th Floor
Toronto, Ontario M5B 1W2
Phone: 416.338.8077
Fax: 416.338.8126
E-Mail: [log in to unmask]

For information on Toronto's health status, please visit:
http://www.toronto.ca/health/hsi/index.htm

>>> SDOH 02/16/06 17:15 >>>

Canadian Press

If we had it all to do over again, Tories would still win: poll
Canadian Press

Ottawa The Conservatives would win another minority and the NDP would gain
at the expense of the Liberals if Canadians had a chance to redo the Jan.
23 election, a new poll suggests.

The Decima Research survey of 1,010 adult Canadians, conducted between Feb.
9 and 13, suggests there has been no significant change in national support
for the Tories.

Thirty-five per cent of respondents said they would vote Conservative,
compared with 36 per cent who cast ballots on election day.

The poll put support for the Liberals at 25 per cent, down five percentage
points from Jan. 23.

Twenty-four per cent of respondents backed the NDP, up from 17.5 per cent
election day.

The Tories won 124 seats in the federal election, and gained another when
Liberal David Emerson crossed the floor to join Prime Minister Stephen
Harper's cabinet. That left the Liberals with 102 seats.

In Ontario, the poll suggests the three main parties would be in a virtual
dead heat, with 31 per cent supporting the NDP, 30 per cent backing the
Liberals, and 29 picking the Conservatives.

The survey suggests Bloc Québécois support has declined since the vote,
with 35 per cent of Quebec respondents supporting the separatist party
compared to 42 per cent who voted BQ last month.

In Quebec, the Conservatives had 28 per cent support, the Liberals 18, and
the NDP 14.

Decima's Bruce Anderson said the numbers signal a number of things, notably
that the controversy surrounding Mr. Emerson's switch and the appointment
of unelected Michael Fortier to cabinet have not affected Conservative
support.

It's not unusual to see the Liberal party number go down in this fashion,
as they are, for all intents and purposes, between leaders, said Mr.
Anderson.

Finally, the NDP number confirms yet again that the NDP enjoys a bigger
opportunity than they have in the past, because of effective leadership
communications and a fiscal situation that makes more NDP policy ideas seem
affordable.

The Decima survey is considered accurate to within plus or minus 3.1
points, 19 times in 20.
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