The reversal of recently agreed to programs like the daycare agreements and
the Kelowna conference dealing with aboriginal issues may be more likely
than we think. Federal funding commitments for the daycare agreement are
guaranteed for only one year and the official position of the Conservatives
toward Kelowna is not favourable. Also, the Liberals may campaign as
centre/left but tend to govern as centre/right, although it's yet to be seen
how they will act in opposition. Notwithstanding the upheaval of a
leadership race, the Liberals may move to recapture the centre/right
support, especially that of elite sectors of Canadian society, that the
Conservatives better mobilized this time around. This does not bode well
for working class and working poor Canadians. Moreover, the Bloc's agenda
ultimately prioritizes "Québec's interests", and accordingly the Bloc acts
pragmatically in Parliament. Last night, Mr. Duceppe said that if the
Conservatives enact policies that favour Québec's interests (e.g. dealing
with "fiscal imbalance, "respecting" provincial jurisdiction), he's more
than willing to work with them. Having said all this, the Conservatives'
minority status likely means that they will tread carefully, sticking to the
more popular elements of their platform (e.g. GST cut, government ethics
package). This combined with a stronger NDP caucus may check their
neoconservative agenda.
----- Original Message -----
From: "Dennis Raphael" <[log in to unmask]>
To: <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Tuesday, January 24, 2006 9:02 AM
Subject: [SDOH] Canadian Welfare State (weak as it is) Unlikely to be
Dismantled
> Results from Canadian Election
>
> Conservatives 124
> Liberals 103
> Bloc Quebecois 51
> NDP 29
> Other 1
>
> Needed for Majority 155
>
> Considering that the NDP and Bloc are social democratic parties and the
> Liberals more or less Centre/Left, it seems unlikely Harper will be able
> to
> reverse recent housing and daycare agreements between the Federal Govt and
> the Provinces.
>
> dr
>
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