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Date: | Mon May 22 10:52:10 2006 |
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I reply to David first and then to Roger.
Suppose that A owns a piece of land that he values at
$100. Entrepreneur B appraises the land and his unique
entrepreneurial knowledge, which he has produced,
leads him to appraise it at $200. The present value of
the future income he expects after buying the land and
diverting its use is $200. He is able to buy the land
at $101 because A is not an entrepreneur. A year
later, C's entrepreneurial knowledge leads her to
appraise the land at $300. B's appraisal has not
changed. C buys the land at $201 because B does not
recognize the higher appraised value. Now B has
enjoyed a capital gain of $100. $99 of that was due to
his superior appraisal. $1 was due to his ownership of
the land.
Now if you threaten to tax all of the $1, you will
take away the incentive to sell. If you tax the $99,
you will take away the incentive to produce a superior
entrepreneurial appraisal. If you tax a per cent, you
will reduce the incentive to the degree that you tax.
A low per cent tax will reduce the incentive to a low
degree a high per cent tax will reduce the incentive
to a high degree.
The price of "the prime site in Oxford Street" is the
consequence of the accumulated appraisals and
reappraisals of countless individuals over a period of
hundreds of years. No doubt there were lucky
landowners who gained windfalls at particular times
from those appraisals and the actions that followed.
But we cannot tax them today. We can only tax their
heirs, if we can find them and if they have anything
left to tax.
I cannot think of any way to tax the future windfall
gainers without also taxing the entrepreneurship that
causes the gains to occur and, at the same time,
taxing the entrepreneurship that gives consumers the
additional surplus because the prime site is used in
the best way that the competing entrepreneurs know.
I understand Roger's struggle, I think. One way to
approach the issue is to make a concrete proposal and
then to consider the likely effects of adopting it.
What specific tax would George promote, as you see it?
Pat Gunning
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