Subject: | |
From: | |
Date: | Fri Mar 31 17:18:40 2006 |
Content-Type: | text/plain |
Parts/Attachments: |
|
|
----------------- HES POSTING -----------------
Larry Moss is certainly correct that monetarism has both a limited meaning
as some form of the quantity theory as well as a broader meaning as a whole
constellation of pro-market, limited government ideas that "center on" the
quantity theory. I believe that Thomas Mayer's _Structure of Monetarism_
(1979) (in its first 2 chapters) has the best treatment of the
constellation of ideas that economists have pulled into the orbit of the
term "monetarism".
But I'm afraid it isn't quite as easy to pull these two definitions apart
as Larry Moss suggests. The two countries that come to mind first for
having tried monetarism (defined narrowly as monetary aggregate targeting
to achieve a stable price level) and then having had to abandon it are the
U.S. and the U.K. But in both cases, the implementation of monetary
aggregate targeting was accompanied by financial market deregulation that
would by any definition be a part of the broader definition of monetarism
(pro-market, laissez faire). But what made it impossible to stick with the
monetary aggregate targeting? One element of the problem was undoubtedly
the very deregulation(s) that the adherents of monetarism had instituted as
a part of their program(s). Thus, I don't believe that it is so easy to
extract one definition of the term monetarism from the failure of another
form of the idea that you want to privilege. What happened to "monetarism"
in the public arena embodied both the definitions that Larry Moss suggests
we consider.
Now, as I pointed out in an earlier post, Brad DeLong has argued that
monetarism's influence has been deep and pervasive despite the failure of
monetary aggregate targeting. One can point, for instance, to the continued
focus on inflation by central banks in the industrialized world, as well as
the continued focus on lags in the effect of policy. But if there are parts
of the original program of monetarism that still have purchase in the
policy arena, this is not because some simple (or complex) form of
monetarism still reigns. Ideas have continued to change and we now have the
kind of arguments for "disciplined discretion" that one finds in the
literature on inflation targeting. But inflation targeting is not
monetarism.
Something has happened to the ideas that economists use and that is what I
propose we study. In particular, I propose that we examine the whole
history of how and why monetarism rose to prominence, and why it fell.
Whether we like it or not, that study involves both of the senses of
monetarism that Larry Moss offers us. I think that the question of what
remains of monetarism (e.g., concern with inflation, acknowledgement of the
importance of time lags in the effect of policy) is a seperate question,
but one that we won't be able to examine until we have better history of
what happened to monetarism in the first place.
One step at a time!
Brad Bateman
Grinnell College
------------ FOOTER TO HES POSTING ------------
For information, send the message "info HES" to [log in to unmask]
|
|
|