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[NOTE: This abstract was submitted on the Economic History Abstract
service, but will be of interest to some historians of economics as
well.--RBE]
EHS Abstract Submission
(c) 1998 EH.Net
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Name: Guillaume Daudin
Email: [log in to unmask]
Institution: London School of Economics
Co-author: None
Title: A Mercantilist Model of Growth and Trade in 18th Century France
Internet Address of abstracted work: Not available on the internet.
By mail:
London School of Economics
21, Godfrey Street
London SW3 3TA
United Kingdom
Language: English
Abstract:
Early cliometrics challenged the traditional vision of the role of European
empires, slavery colonies and worldwide trade domination. They easily
showed that the external sector was so marginal compared to European
domestic economies that gains could only be of minor significance. This of
course was in contradiction with the whole of economic thought before the
rise of liberalism starting in the mid 18th century.
By using modern formal economic tools, this paper shows that it is possible
to justify and even defend the mercantilist view of the relations between
world trade and domestic prosperity. The tools it uses are endogenous
growth theories and "thick-thin-market" multiple-equilibrium macroeconomic
models developed in the '80s to explain the persisting under-utilization of
production factors in the long run. This was the case of peasant labour in
Ancien Regime economies. The way out of this low equilibrium was the
extension of domestic trade, alongside with the development of
proto-industrialization and market agriculture: subsistence goods could be
replaced by goods exchanged on a much wider basis, leading to a better use
of production factors. Considering the high scale of this kind of
exchange, this could only be done through intermediaries. However, trade
had a cost and traders had to deal with opportunistic behaviour, lack of
information, uncertainty, the costs of transport and conversation and the
financial burden of capital immobilized in inventories. All this required
specific knowledge, social capital and circulating capital. As all but the
last of these production factors had a very strong depreciation rate and
could be socially accumulated only with difficulty, long-run global
extension of domestic trade was only possible if the stock of circulating
capital extended as well. This extension of the stock of circulating
capital depended crucially on the development of monetary aggregates. The
paper emphasizes the fact that the stability of this expanding financial
system required a steady increase of its monetary base, i.e., mainly of the
stock of precious metals in the domestic economy. This explains the
chryshedonism of many mercantilists, which followed from an awareness of
the economic role of money which was lost in classical and neoclassical
thought. Precious metals and high-powered financial assets were only to be
found on the world market, either through exportation of goods or the
taking over of world trade, which is equivalent to the exportation of trade
services. The actual organization of world trade was deeply uncompetitive
for many reasons: the very high entry cost in it for a trader community,
the oligopolistic behaviour of trader communities and the willingness of
the states to intervene. This allowed for supra-normal profits to be
generated for individuals. According to an heart of growth mechanism,
these profits were the basis of accumulation and the increase of the
circulating capital stock in the domestic economy.
The study of Ancien Regime economies requires abandoning the use of the
simple '50s and '60s economics which were developed to understand modern
economies. This has already begun for micro-analysis. We hope this paper
helps macro-analysis to catch up.
Bibliography: Daudin, Guillaume. "A Mercantilist Model of Growth and
Trade in 18th Century France." Paper presented at 1998 Cliometrics
Conference, Washington University, St. Louis, May 8-10, 1998.
Subject: D
Geographical Area: 4
Country/Region: France
Time Period: 6
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