Now it's Kevin Hoover's turn to drop my jaw. I got that reaction from
Roger's previous post because most introductory texts in macroeconomics
as well as texts in money and banking explain that households are the
net savers whiles government and businesses are net borrowers. Thus,
when explaining the determination of interest rates by the loanable
funds diagram, households take the supply side while businesses and
government take the demand side. I use that explanation in chapter 4 of
my book, *Classical Macroeconomics: Some Modern Variations and
Distortions* (Routledge, 2003). If one believed Roger, and now Kevin,
one would have to switch the designations: households on the demand side
and government and businesses on the supply side. No, not me.
In my post yesterday, I directed attention to the forms of saving and
borrowing and asked for evidence that the household sector was the net
issuer of IOUs whiles businesses and government were the net holders of
"demand, savings, time deposit, money market deposit, and money market
mutual fund accounts, as well as purchasers of stocks and bonds."
Roger doesn't answer my query but says "I included business depreciation
accounts (over $900bn in 2003 -- see US Dept of Commerce, BEA, Table
5.1, line 13; ...). But without comparing that number to the total
amount of financial assets held by households that year, the figure does
not tell us what he thinks it does.
I think had Kevin also followed my guide in reading the flow of funds
matrix he might have concluded differently than to declare:
"Well a quick look at the Federal Reserve's Flow of Funds Accounts
(http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/Current/z1r-6.pdf) shows that
Roger Sandilands is, in fact, correct. In the United States, both
Nonfinancial and Financial Businesses are both gross and net savers.
Why debate factual matters on the basis of one's memories and intuitions
when the facts are easily checked?"
Not so fast. In fact, on page 115 of that table, comparing the columns
under "households and nonprofit organizations" vs "nonfinancial
business" on the basis of the forms in which savings and borrowings are
undertaken, one finds that businesses have more liabilities (borrowings)
than assets (savings) whiles the reverse is true for households and
nonprofit organizations. Adding from line 11 through 33, I found that
non-financial businesses had $13,717.1b in assets but $40,447.1b in
liabilities. For households and non-profit organizations, the assets
amount to $41,784.8b while the liabilities are $23,432.4b.
On page 41 of R. Glenn Hubbard's (2005) text that I used this spring
quarter in my money and banking course, he reports data from the Flow of
Funds Accounts published by the Fed. There one finds that households'
holdings of the liabilities of financial intermediaries in 2003 (that
is, their stock of savings) amounted to $17,811.5b. Their holdings of
the liabilities of non-financial entities in 2003 also amounted to
$12,174.2b. These include $735.1b of U.S. government securities,
$640.7b of state and local government securities, $862.8b of corporate
bonds, $4165.9b of corporate equities, and $5068.7b of equity in
unincorporated businesses.
Of course, it is the change in these magnitudes that signifies the flow
of savings. But looking at the same table, we find that accumulation of
the liabilities of non-financial entities increased by 148% between 1985
and 2003 or about 8.2% at an average annual rate whiles the growth of
savings through financial intermediaries was 273% or about 15% average
annual rate.
I am well aware of the popular talk these days that American saving rate
has been declining or even negative of late. One of such talk is what
Alan Isaac refers me to (by Barry Bosworth). But I think one of the
reasons for this mis-characterization of savings arises from the modern
definition of money whereby all sorts of the public's savings are
included in M1, M2, M3, etc. Thus, in 2003 bank deposits stood at
$5234b, up from $2306.7b in 1985 (127%) and money market mutual fund
shares were $1062.7b in 2003, up from $211.1b in 1985 (404%), but both
of these would be buried under M2 or M3.
Data also show that only about 10% of M2 in the US is currency, the rest
thus constituting mostly households' savings (liabilities of financial
intermediaries). Thus when M2 grew at about 7% between 1995 and 2000
whiles some people were claiming that American savings rate had turned
negative during the 1990s, I appreciate the source of their problem.
Most, like Barry Bosworth, merely rely on national accounts identities
and the resulting data without considering the forms in which
households' savings take place.
So I wish Kevin hadn't done a "quick look" at the data but had
undertaken a careful look, bearing in mind the sources and uses of funds
by financial intermediaries as well as the issuers and purchasers of
financial instruments on financial/capital markets. Data do not speak
for themselves. They require careful interpretation. I say this
because I have had the impression that Kevin is a macro-monetary
economists and probably teaches money and banking. Perhaps I've been
wrong all along.
Delighted to see Mason Gaffney re-enter the discussion. Since his
scolding of me for having referred to Marxian analysis, I've read from
Henry George the intent for arguing the single-tax proposal. George's
goal is "to unite the truth perceived by the school of Smith and Ricardo
to the truth perceived by the schools of Proudhon and Lassalle; to show
that laissez faire (in its full true meaning) opens the way to a
realization of the noble dreams of socialism" (4th ed., p. xxi). (Note
that Proudhon considers private property to be theft.) And like Marx
who argued that all value derives from labor and not giving labor all of
production amounts to exploitation, George argues that "private property
in land always has, and always must, as development proceeds, lead to
the enslavement of the laboring class" (p. xx). It is from such
reasoning that George sought to dispute the wages-fund explanation of
wage rate determination and also denied the classical inverse
wage-profit relation argument in chapter 1 of his book.
Most mothers, I'm inclined to believe, tell their children to watch the
company they keep. Perhaps Mason and most advocates of land-rent tax
just want to argue to motivating aspect of taxing land so its holders
put them to their highest net income-earning uses. But I think people
who refer to themselves as Georgists must also bear in mind that Henry
George had the goal of establishing socialism with his single-tax
proposal. I wish they would not get overly excited when that motivation
is brought up.
James Ahiakpor
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