Frank, I had to look up Schumpeter's argument before I could answer your
question about a disagreement between Schumpeter and Hayek. As I see it,
the disagreement is huge.
Schumpeter believed that a central planning bureau could rationally
determine how much of each resource to allocate to the production of
each consumer good without a system in which the resources would be
priced. In other words, the central planners had the task of assigning
those resources to the various employments. Now in thinking of this
problem, one must appreciate the length and complexity of the supply
chain for each fundamental resource -- each mineral in the earth and
each "piece of human capital." Not only must the central planners decide
to which consumer goods industry the resources should be allocated, the
central planner in each industry must also know where, among the complex
and lengthy supply chains for the various resources used to produce the
consumer good he is charged with producing, to place the resource.
For the Austrians, to determine where resources should go in order to
cause a particular configuration of consumer goods to be produced would
require knowledge of opportunity costs. Such knowledge is obviously used
in a market economy. Its use occurs as a consequence of responses to
price signals. These signals and responses reflect each resource owner's
willingness and ability to supply and each resource producer's
willingness to demand. This set of willingnesses are based mainly on the
private knowledge of each of the parties. The knowledge in question is
not just about how to supply a particular resource or consumer good. It
is often knowledge about how the resource can be used to help produce a
variety of different other resources and other consumer goods. It
transcends a particular industry.
There is a complex network of communication on the part of independent
possessors of "knowledge of particular circumstances of time and place"
(to use Hayek's term). This network involves virtually every actor at
each position in what Hayek called a structure of production. Absent
this communication, no one could determine how to assign the resources
to each industrial category and, more importantly, to the proper
assignment of a resource in the complete structure of production that
lies behind each consumer good's production. (It is not enough to assign
a resource to the industry planner, as if this could be done rationally.
The planner must know where and how to use it.) No single individual in
the market economy knows the opportunity costs of using resources to
help in the production of each of the consumer goods. Many of them only
know the prices announced by others in a way that is similar to the way
that the automobile driver knows that the "engine oil" indicator light
is shining. The driver doesn't know why the light is shining. He only
knows that a wise choice is to take his car to the repair shop.
Similarly, the supplier of resources in a market economy does not know
why the price of his resource is higher in employment A than in
employment B. He only knows that he can make more money if he chooses A.
In short, the knowledge needed for central planning of all production is
not in the mind of any individual. It is dispersed through many minds,
none of which grasps the reason that opportunity costs, as reflected in
resource prices, are what they are. If the central planners do not have
a capitalist system to copy -- and in the passage where Schumpeter deals
with the problem (about the 4th page of chapter 16), he assumes that
they do not -- they would not know how to allocate given resources as
among the various industries. It is wise to remember that the Austrians
have in mind long supply chains for each resource. Resources are used to
produce other resources, which were used to produce other resources. And
most of the resources at each level could be used to help produce a wide
range of different other resources and consumer goods. At each juncture
in the structure of production, there are opportunity costs that are
observed by those to whom they are relevant but for which no one knows
why they are what they are.
Why did Schumpeter say such a dumb thing? Obviously, he did not
appreciate the socialist calculation problem that is so important in the
history of Austrian economics. This, indeed, was dumb in my opinion;
since he had so many brilliant minds from whom he could have learned.
Best wishes,
Pat Gunning
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