------------ EH.NET BOOK REVIEW --------------
Published by EH.NET (May 2008)
Timothy J. Hatton, Kevin H. O'Rourke, and Alan M. Taylor, editors,
_The New Comparative Economic History: Essays in Honor of Jeffrey G.
Williamson_. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2007. ix + 417 pp. $40
(cloth), ISBN: 978-0-262-08361-4.
Reviewed for EH.NET by Dan Bogart, Department of Economics,
University of California, Irvine.
It is a testimony to Jeffrey Williamson that so many influential
scholars have contributed to a book honoring his career. The list of
contributors reads like a 'who's who' in comparative economic
history. In the opening chapter, Timothy Hatton, Kevin O'Rourke, and
Alan Taylor summarize the 'the New Comparative Economic History' and
Williamson's contribution to it. In a nutshell, this line of research
analyzes the sources of economic growth, the importance of
institutions, and the impact of globalization by making comparisons
between actual economies. An illuminating contrast is made with early
cliometrics, which addressed questions by constructing
counterfactuals with the help of theory and calibration. There is no
doubt that comparative research is making contributions to core
questions in economic history. As a survey of the chapters reveals,
comparative economic historians have an incredible amount of data at
their disposal and when combined with modern empirical tools much can
be learned. Still there are some problems or challenges that need to
be kept in mind. One complication is that much cross-country or
cross-regional variation cannot be meaningfully accounted for with
standard variables. Another is that few variables can be taken as
exogenous in the long-run, making identification quite complicated.
Lastly, more theory is needed to understand how economic and
political processes evolve over the long run.
The main contribution of the book is to offer a sample of the latest
research in comparative economic history. The sample is not random to
be sure, but the chapters do cover a wide range of issues --
migration, income convergence (and divergence), inequality,
international trade, and international finance -- all of which have
been central to Jeffrey Williamson's research. Most of the
contributions are fairly specialized and address a particular issue.
William Collins (chapter 7) uses micro-census data from 1940 to 2000
to document that the educational convergence of the southern U.S. was
largely driven by the higher education attainment of southern-born
children and supplemented by the absorption of high human capital
in-migrants. The chapter makes several contributions to the
literature on migration and education in the "New South." Leah Platt
Boustan (chapter 11) shows that the nineteenth century migration of
Russian Jews to the U.S. can be explained by the U.S. unemployment
rate and the stock of the Jewish population in the U.S., while
religious violence in Russia had modest long-run effects. Her chapter
would be of interest to scholars studying the Jewish Diaspora and the
estimation of immigration flows.
Several chapters are devoted to income convergence, divergence, and
inequality. Robert Allen (chapter 1) compares real wages in India and
Europe over the long-run and finds they were similar until the
seventeenth century, when a divergence began, particularly in
comparison to England. The chapter offers new insights on the timing
of the Great Divergence. Greg Clark (chapter 2) uses a calibrated
model of the British economy to argue that population growth accounts
for the structural differences between Britain and its European
competitors, not the productivity growth associated with the
Industrial Revolution. The chapter makes a contribution to recent
literature on the formal modeling of the British economy from 1780 to
1860. Leonardo Prados de la Escosura (chapter 12) presents new
estimates of inequality and poverty in Latin America since 1850. They
show that inequality increased steadily from the late 1800s to the
1970s, while poverty counts declined, largely due to economic growth.
This chapter will be of interest to those who study the dynamics of
growth, inequality, and poverty over the long-run. George Boyer
(chapter 13) shows there was significant convergence in non-income
measures of living standards across the Atlantic economy from 1870 to
1930. He argues that improvements in the 3 l's -- longevity,
learning, and leisure -- helped to slow emigration from northwestern
Europe to the New World in the 1900s. The results suggest the need
for broader measurements of welfare in the first era of
globalization. Cormac O Grada (chapter 14) examines the divergence
and convergence of welfare measures in Britain and the Netherlands
from 1500 to 1850 and Ireland and Italy from 1950 to 2000. The
chapter quantifies the higher welfare gains from rapid initial growth
followed by slower subsequent growth compared to slow initial growth
followed by rapid growth. His chapter makes a contribution to the
literature on the welfare consequences of "economic miracles."
Several more chapters are devoted to commodity market integration,
international trade, and protection. Suleyman Ozmucur and Sevket
Pamuk (chapter 3) find mixed evidence for commodity market
integration across Europe between 1500 and 1800. Tests based on
coefficients of variation and cointegration show no evidence of
integration for rice, sugar, honey, and butter, and partial support
for integration in wheat and olive oil. Their findings have relevance
for the "When Did Globalization Begin" debate. Giovanni Federico and
Karl Gunnar Persson (chapter 4) revisit the issue of integration in
world wheat markets by studying the variance in prices from 1800 to
2000. They find that much of the cross-national variance was due to
differences in wheat prices between free-trade and protectionist
countries and among protectionist countries. Their findings will be
of interest to the growing literature on the determinants of market
integration. Kevin O'Rourke and Alan Taylor (chapter 8) provide
evidence that in land abundant economies greater democracy raised
tariffs, and in labor abundant economies greater democracy lowered
tariffs. They also find that in countries with high capital to labor
ratios greater democracy lowered tariffs. Their chapter contributes
to the literature which confronts historical data with trade and
political economy models. Timothy Hatton and Jeff Williamson (chapter
9) investigate why trade was more restricted compared to immigration
in the first era of globalization and trade was less restricted
compared to immigration in the second era of globalization. They
argue that tariffs were a more important revenue source in the
nineteenth century than today and that policy backlashes against
immigration were more muted in the nineteenth century because of the
limited franchise, developmental coalitions, and party politics.
Their chapter suggests that the first era of globalization can offer
some interesting insights on the modern immigration debate.
Two chapters deal with international comparisons of productivity.
Alan Olmstead and Paul Rhode (chapter 5) study how improvements wheat
breeding in the nineteenth century prevented yields from
significantly declining as production shifted to colder and drier
places. Using case studies from several countries, they show how
wheat breeding became a global enterprise with an exchange of ideas
between every continent. Their analysis emphasizes a somewhat
forgotten aspect of the first globalization: international knowledge
transfers. Using cross-country regression analysis, Gayle Allard and
Peter Lindert (chapter 15) find evidence that employment protection
legislation and product market regulation reduced employment and
productivity since the 1960s. They also find that coordinated wage
setting and welfare state transfers either increased employment and
productivity or did little to reduce them. This chapter contributes
to the broader literature on the efficacy of Anglo-American
institutions versus Continental European institutions.
Finally, there are two chapters analyzing financial markets from a
comparative perspective. Richard Grossman (chapter 6) shows that bank
capital to asset ratios declined in most countries from 1840 to 1940.
Cross-country regression analysis reveals that banking crises
increased capital to asset ratios, but government regulations, like
minimum capital requirements, had little influence. This chapter
shows convergence in a key variable across banking systems, and
suggests the benefits of comparative research in banking history.
Holger Wolf and Tarik Yousef (chapter 10) examine the timing of exit
from the Gold Standard during the Great Depression. They find that
greater deflation or recession hastened exit, as did the exit of
trading partners. Interestingly, greater political instability slowed
exit from the Gold standard. Their results should be of interest to
scholars studying the determinants of monetary policy in the Great
Depression.
Dan Bogart is an assistant professor of economics at the University
of California, Irvine. His research focuses on government policies
towards the infrastructure sector in Britain and throughout the world
in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. Recent publications
include "Nationalizations and the Development of Transport Systems:
Cross-Country Evidence from Railroad Networks, 1860-1912"
(forthcoming, _Journal of Economic History_); "Turnpike Trusts and
Property Income: New Evidence on the Effects of Transport
Improvements and Legislation in Eighteenth Century England,"
(forthcoming in the _Economic History Review_); and "Inter-modal
Network Externalities and Transport Development: Evidence from Roads,
Canals, and Ports during the English Industrial Revolution"
(forthcoming in _Networks and Spatial Economics_).
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Published by EH.Net (May 2008). All EH.Net reviews are archived at
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