Subject: | |
From: | |
Date: | Fri Mar 31 17:18:37 2006 |
Content-Type: | text/plain |
Parts/Attachments: |
|
|
Try this on for size:
if you simply "promote savings", then what happens to the
interest rate? (30 seconds, time is up) Um uh gee -- It FALLS.
now, that is supposed to "encourage" investment. BUT at best
what it does is encouraging borrowing. Borrowing for WHAT?
Hey, the choice of the borrower, right?
OKAY.
In a healthy functioning economy, what happens is that
innovators see opportunities that others don't. They anticipate
high returns on those opportunities (until everyone else catches
on). THAT MEANS they are willing to pay a higher-than-average
return on borrowed funds.
The higher-than-average returns attracts the would-be
investor.
The investor is not a person but an institution engaged in
financial intermediation.
That institution is willing to pay, in turn, higher rates of
return on funds from constituents.
The higher rates of return translate into higher interest rates
which then should have an impact on the idnividual back there thinking
about "Hmmmm, save or consume, save or consume, what to do?" (Note
the word "should" -- there are lots of glitches that can boggle up
this whole process, yes?)
SO. An obsession with promoting saving as a more "pure" form of
economic activity than consumption can backfire on you. Because it isnot
saving that you really want to be promoting. It is innovation. And
placing too much emphasis on saving (taking funds away that might have
been used to purchase that new innovation ...) is no more or less an
imbalance than any other sorts of interventions in the process.
But it plays well in Washington.
-- Mary Schweitzer
|
|
|