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Date: | Fri Mar 31 17:18:25 2006 |
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No one engaging in this discussion has yet mentioned what is perhaps the
most relevant institutional factor contributing to the banking collapse and
the resulting (accompanying?) collapse in income - the United States and
many other countries were on the gold standard. That the gold standard was
at the center of the monetary difficulties is now well accepted. In the
February 1995 JMCB, Ben Bernanke discusses the issue with clarity, noting
that the severity of the depression across countries was directly related
to their continued adherence to gold. Countries that left the standard
earlier fared much better than the U.S.
Judging whether monetary policy is loose or tight must be done in the
context of the gold standard. On gold, central banks cannot control the
quantity of their money supplies, since M is endogenous. However, central
banks can control the composition of their own portfolios through credit
policies. That the Federal Reserve attempted to stanch an outflow of gold
with tighter credit early in the depression era is clear.
Some 128 years before the difficulties of 1929-30 started the U.S. on a
downward spiral, Henry Thornton argued that the duty of a central bank was
to protect the stability of the banking system. Thornton advised meeting
internal drains (of coin into hoards) by expanding the Bank of England's
note issue. An external drain was to be met by tightening credit - but not
too tight. And if the banking system began to fail, Thornton advised an
expansive policy. If that meant temporarily suspending convertibility, so
be it.
In the context of Thornton's analysis, the Fed's policy was undeniably too
tight. As Steve Horwitz has noted, central banks should take current
economic conditions into account when formulating policy.
--Neil Skaggs
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Neil T. Skaggs
Department of Economics
Illinois State University
Campus Box 4200
Normal, IL 61790-4200
(309) 438-7204
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