Economan Captures the Knowledge Economy
Review of David Warsh's Knowledge and the Wealth of Nations
David Warsh's engaging new book Knowledge and the Wealth of Nations tells
two stories. One story, beginning with Adam Smith, covers the history of
thought about the relationship of economic growth and economies of scale.
Warsh finds in Smith a contradiction between the huge technical economies
of the pin factory, which should create monopolies, and growth driven by
competition between many firms. From Allyn Young forward, he sketches the
lives and ideas of major 20th century economists who addressed or neglected
Smith's puzzle, while building the mathematized economics of today. The
players include George Akerlof, Kenneth Arrow, Robert Barro, Edward
Chamberlin, Paul David, Gerard Debreu, Milton Friedman, John Maynard
Keynes, Paul Krugman, Robert Lucas, William Nordhaus, Paul Romer, Paul
Samuelson, Robert Solow, Joseph Stiglitz, John Von Neumann, and many more.
The other story details Paul Romer's struggle to develop a new mathematical
growth model that would solve Smith's puzzle, culminating in "Endogenous
Technological Change" in 1990. This model challenges the now classic 1956
model of Robert Solow, by explaining innovation rather that treating it as
manna from heaven.
I found the book at least as interesting for its depiction of elite
academic economists as for its account of growth theory.
Warsh views his economists as "a cat looking at kings." They are "the best
and the brightest." In 1985 "[a]t the age of forty-eight, Robert Lucas has
become the most influential economics theorist in the world." Or, "At age
forty-nine, [John] Taylor is on his way to becoming one of the fathers of
the profession." These economen -- for they are all men -- sally forth like
heroes on the Trojan battlefield. Only it's the "Saltwater" (Cambridge MA
and allies) heroes versus the "Freshwater" (Chicago) heroes. Sometimes they
collaborate; sometimes they go mano a mano against a single opponent--as
does Romer against Solow.
Hovering over the scene like Athena and Hera are two women, neither of them
accorded Warsh's usual encomia. They are Joan Robinson, originator (with
Edward Chamberlin) of the idea of "monopolistic competition," and Jane
Jacobs. Jacobs, known for her keen observations on the economy of cities,
was not even an economist, let alone a mathematical economist.
I confess to skepticism. I find no contradiction in Adam Smith. I have
difficulty with modern macroeconomics, which disregards factor proportions
and prices, as well as distribution. I cannot swallow growth
theory--especially the aggregate production function into which Romer
incorporates knowledge acquisition. Warsh's heroes battle for honor and
glory--the admiration of colleagues, publications in top journals,
prestigious professorships, the Clark Medal, the Nobel Prize. And they
experience the sheer joy of solving puzzles. But, has their new
mathematical arsenal enabled them to capture a better understanding of the
economy, as Warsh assumes?
Surprisingly and annoyingly, Knowledge and the Wealth of Nations lacks
citations and bibliography, though at least it has an index.
David Warsh edits www.economicprincipals.com, a weekly column on the doings
of the profession.
Mary M. Cleveland
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