Alan, I am not sure how the Keynes quote is relevant. I am not saying
that Keynes was a jerk. My main point is that when macro principles'
teachers teach Keynesian economics using AD-AS and IS-LM analysis, they
systematically disregard profit in the broader sense of the term. By
making various simplifying assumptions (either explicitly or
implicitly), Keynesians rule out the kinds of market economy decisions
which, if they were accounted for, would most likely lead to the
conclusion that the Keynesian analysis is irrelevant to the task of
trying to make policy that is, on balance, beneficial from a utilitarian
standpoint..
Regarding the quote, Keynes seems to be writing about speculative profit
on an asset that can be disposed of at any time. This kind of profit can
have important macro effects, particularly in an economy with a flexible
quantity of money. The increase in money (or the increase in demand for
speculative money allowed by an increase in supply of money) leads to
speculative bubbles, which can, in turn, lead to sudden changes in the
distribution of wealth and to mis-allocations that producing
entrepreneurs will try to correct. The current housing bubble in the
U.S. is an example. But such bubbles are fundamentally monetary
phenomena (either a consequence of mistakes made by a particular group
creditors like house financiers or of mistakes made by creditors in
general, as in the Asian financial crisis) Their effects cannot be dealt
with effectively by means of the typical Keynesian tools after they have
started..
Regarding Keynes himself, as I recall, he tended to pay too much
attention to asset speculation and too little attention to the the
speculation and actual undertakings of producing entrepreneurs.
Production cannot occur unless resources are bought, a specified period
of time passes, and the product is sold. And the production of the
typical good bought by consumers entails production of resources by
numerous entrepreneurs at different positions along the supply chains,
which were accounted for by most of the early neo-classicals, and
especially by the Austrians like Menger, Bohm Bawerk and Hayek. My claim
is that the Keynesians ignore the profit calculations of these. Those
who followed Keynes tended to ignore these supply chains and the time
structure of production. And, as I have tried to argue, they tended to
ignore the profit associated with these.
Have I misunderstood the reason for your quote?
Pat Gunning
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