Hi, HESers
Apparently, I hold a minority position. Fortunately,
scientific issues are not decided by majority vote.
Regarding Roy�s points, my post aimed to avoid the
dubious distinction between what George called �ground
rent� and other rent. I am not persuaded that this
distinction has theoretical significance or that it is
practical. I am not speaking only for myself. I have
learned a lot from studying Davenport, Wieser, Knight
and Mises. My remarks reflect that learning, in
retrospect, as Mark would put it.
Roy accepts this distinction and says that it should
not be too difficult to separate the two. Roger seems
to concur. We (my dead economist colleagues and I)
believe the distinction itself is vague and that it
would be impossible to identify �ground rent.� Of
course, some �professional valuation officer� could
attach a price to a parcel of land by doing a mental
experiment. But we are not talking about some
government bureaucrat attaching A price, we are
talking about attaching THE price that reflects an
UNEARNED INCREMENT and one that, if this increment was
taxed, would not have adverse incentive effects on the
production of consumers� surplus. As we see it, giving
such a job to the kinds of �professionals� who are
usually assigned such tasks would lead to just the
opposite of what George thought could be achieved. It
would not destroy the economy, but it would be no more
justifiable from an economic or ethical point of view
than any other kind of tax. Let me explain why we
believe this.
The majority cannot deny, we maintain, that if it were
not for the competing entrepreneurial appraisals, no
�ground rent� or any other kind of rent would exist.
Indeed, no prices could exist without entrepreneurial
appraisals. Prices do not establish themselves. Of
course, there are past prices but these are
continually being challenged and revised by current
entrepreneur appraisers. Both an existing owner and
all of the prospective owners of a parcel of land or
site act as entrepreneurs and, consequently, make
appraisals. The interaction of the appraising
entrepreneurs determines ALL prices.
The appraisals of entrepreneurs are based on expected
uses. Each of the separate competing entrepreneurs
brings his own distinct and private human capital and
possibly that of his assistants and partners to bear
on the matter. If he believes that he needs more
knowledge to make a good decision, he may cause the
human capital to be produced that he believes is
needed to make the decision. In today�s high-tech
world, the ability to appraise is typically a
resource that has been at least partly produced for
the distinct purpose of making an appraisal that is
superior to that of other entrepreneurs. (This is the
deeper implication of Polly�s observations.) The
ability to appraise is the consequence of an
entrepreneurial venture in which a would-be appraiser
has invested. If the venture is a success, the
superior appraisal is made and the price of the
appraised item rises. The item is more valuable in the
eyes of the producing entrepreneur.
Under pure market economy conditions, this implies
that it benefits consumers. In other words, the effort
that goes into producing the information that causes
the market price to rise has the unintended effect of
producing consumers� surplus. It is an example of
Smith�s invisible hand.
These ideas apply no less to land than to all of the
other resources. The ideas are the backbone of the
neoclassical revolution. They were produced mainly by
Menger and Clark. They were taken for granted by
economists like Wicksteed, Fetter, Davenport, Knight,
and Mises. It is obvious that others who are called
neoclassicals did not grasp or accept these ideas. And
those who did accept (the above mentioned neoclassical
economists) them did not express them in this way,
partly no doubt because they were living and fighting
for the revolution, and not reporting on it in
retrospect.
There are formal classes that help to train real
estate agents how to make appraisals. But there is no
set formula for deciding the present value of the
future net revenue that can be earned from using a
parcel of land in a particular place with particular
characteristics with one of a practically infinite set
of other resources for some demand-satisfying purpose.
Entrepreneurship, almost by definition, cannot be
learned from power point lectures.
If the land tax bureaucrat makes a credible threat to
take away a part of the expected profit from an
increase in price, she also takes away part of the
incentive to make the superior appraisal and the
incentive of the owner to put himself in the position
to benefit from someone else�s appraisal. �She
squeezes the consumers� surplus out of the
entrepreneurial tube.�
Entrepreneurs attach a market price to a site in
anticipation of the revenue they will earn if they own
the site. Suppose that a site already has buildings on
it. Then an entrepreneur may assign a revenue product
that is greater than the same site if it had no
buildings but less than a site that had buildings that
he regards as suitable for the most profitable use.
Or, he may assign a revenue product that is less than
if there were no buildings. If the site is on
potentially fertile land that can be farmed, an
entrepreneur who is planning a shopping center or an
apartment complex may have to compete with one who is
planning to turn it into rice paddies. These are only
two of the numerous potential entrepreneurs who may be
appraising the site. The numerous potential uses of a
site and the numerous individuals whose
entrepreneurship may play a role in raising the site�s
market value suggest that the �ground rent� is itself
variable and dependent on entrepreneurial appraisals
and entrepreneurial knowledge much of which is
produced. Or, to put the issue in a way that is more
consistent with my earlier post, it is not possible
for a government agent or an economist to separate,
for practical purposes, the unearned from the earned
increment, if indeed there is an unearned increment.
Let us suppose that �ground rent� exists. Then the
payment received by the owner of a site must contain
both this and other rent. Any realistic implementation
of the �ground rent tax� would require a government
agent to determine (1) what is in the minds of the
many different entrepreneurs and (2) what the rent
would be if, somehow, there were no current
entrepreneurs. It is not credible to think that we
could find someone to do this job, even if we did not
have to worry about rent-seeking and other public
choice issues. To think otherwise is tantamount to
committing the central planning fallacy.
This, in simple terms, expresses Davenport�s critique
and, more generally, the (correctly understood)
neoclassical critique of the single tax ideology. But
the errors continue to be made. Let me try to give
some reasons why people, including apparently our own
society, continue to make errors.
Some people think that a tax on land rentals will
cause rich people to pay a greater share of the tax
burden. This thinking is popular but fallacious. No
one in her right mind advocates taxing gross ground
rent, whatever that is. The reason is that in a pure
market economy, the current owner of a parcel of land
is most likely to have bought it with the proceeds of
her productive work and entrepreneurial skill. To tax
the future rent would be to punish someone from using
her savings to buy ground or sites instead of condos,
holiday trips, lazy-boy chairs, and HES subscriptions.
The more advanced thinkers aim to tax APPRECIATION of
land values. But they also make a mistake. They do not
realize that such appreciation cannot occur without
some entrepreneur believing that his appraisal is
superior to someone who owns the land now. A tax on
the appreciation in value would necessarily reduce the
production of the information needed by entrepreneurs
to make the superior appraisals.
We say succinctly and anthropomorphically that land
prices have appreciated. Then we reason fallaciously
that we can tax the increase in market value because
land cannot move. What we ought to say, in accord with
the neoclassical revolution, is that competing
entrepreneurs have bid higher prices. If we keep this
in mind, we would understand immediately that to tax
any appreciation in price, including that of land,
amounts to taxing the activities of the entrepreneurs
that cause the price to rise. It would have an effect
that is comparable to the effect of taxing middleman
activity. As Frank Knight pointed out, the
entrepreneur is, in a grand sense, the agent of the
consumer. He is the goose who lays the golden eggs. To
tax the goose is to reduce the incentive to lay.
Reference
Gunning, J. Patrick (1997) "Herbert Davenport on the
Single Tax." American Journal of Economics and
Sociology. 56: (4): 565-574. (Pre-publication copy
available on request.)
Gunning, J. Patrick. (1998) "Herbert J. Davenport's
Transformation of the Austrian Theory of Value and
Cost." In Malcolm Rutherford (ed.). The Economic Mind
in America: Essays in the History of American
Economics: London: Routledge. (Pre-publication copy
available on request.)
Pat Gunning
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