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Date: | Fri Mar 31 17:18:46 2006 |
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To add to Larry's excellent discussion, I would like to point out that
the significance of the neutrality of money assumption concerns policy.
Throughout the 50s and 60s, in the heyday of optimism about the
potential effectiveness of discretionary monetary policy, the theory
associated with what Mark Blaug called the Cantillon effect was
available to typical economics students only in the history of thought
texts (e.g., Economic Theory in Retrospect). A generation or two of
macroeconomics students were trained to disregard the Cantillon effect.
Economists who were critical of this optimism, like Friedman and
Buchanan, focused not on the disruptive injection effects of an increase
or decrease in the quantity of money but on the political processes that
pressure the actual monetary policy decisions. Both emphasized the
dangers of discretion in a democratic society. Only those precious few
who ventured into Austrian economics or into the history of thought
learned something about the micro-economics that was most relevant to
evaluating discretionary monetary policy. That is, only they learned
about the Austrian trade cycle theory.
Also to elaborate on Larry's point about the particular means of
increasing the quantity of money (namely, through the loan market), the
key to understanding the Austrian argument is to recognize the demand
for present goods in relation to the demand for future goods. Mainstream
macroeconomics models used a concept of money saving that almost
entirely disembodied this demand. By doing this, it diverted attention
away from Mises's main idea -- that unexpected money injected into the
economy through loan markets distorts the signals that consumer-savers
give to entrepreneurs about their near future goods demand. This
diversion was part of the Keynesian legacy.
Pat Gunning
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