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From:
Pat Gunning <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Societies for the History of Economics <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Mon, 7 Feb 2011 09:29:21 -0500
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I just looked at Marshall's "SUMMARY OF THE GENERAL THEORY OF 
EQUILIBRIUM OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY" (Book V, Chapter XIV). Perhaps I 
should have done this first. In the summary, he begins with what, as a 
student, I learned to call the very short run, or market period. During 
this period, the entrepreneurs can only account for the demand for X. A 
change in demand causes the equilibrium price to rise or to fall but no 
change in equilibrium quantity. Then he expands to the long run, during 
which the entrepreneurs are assumed to take account of costs of 
production  in the entire economy (properly understood as opportunity 
costs, and which include the demands for other goods besides X). In the 
long run, a change in demand causes a change in equilibrium quantity and 
possibly also price.

Now let us ask how to best represent the very short run to a 
non-mathematician. In the back of our minds, we know that we plan to 
also represent the long run.

It seems to me that since the short run changes are meant to represent a 
RISING and a FALLING price, the vertical representation is the most 
sensible beginning point. One does not succeed in communicating rises 
and falls very well with non-mathematicians by drawing pictures that 
show horizontal distances.

Which takes me back to gravity and the way people learn to count as an 
explanation, although this explanation is reinforced by reference to 
what appear to have been Marshall's intentions.

Perhaps if Marshall had begun by describing the long run, he would have 
had no reason to transpose the axes, since he would have wanted to 
represent the rise or fall in quantity first. But teaching the logic of 
economic thinking is a step-by-step process. To begin by describing the 
long run equilibrium would presuppose that a student already knew about 
the conditions of demand. Such an approach would be counter-productive. 
To begin with the very short run does not presuppose that a student 
knows about the conditions of supply.




On 2/6/2011 3:53 PM, Rosser, John Barkley - rosserjb wrote:
> On the one hand in general P and Q are simultaneously determined, while OTOH in particular markets one can argue that one is more exogenous than the other, with the bread example one supporting the Marshallian placement of the axes.  I think the problem arises now as to why it is that at the Principles level the stories get told more the Cournot-Walras way with P sounding "more exogenous" is that in the initial presentations of the law of supply and demand in most textbooks, what gets introduced immediately as part of the explanation is what will happen if some naughty government imposes some sort of regulation of price, with the canonical textbook examples being price floors for agricultural commodities or price (or sometimes labor as in a minimum wagye) and price ceilings for housing rents.  In engaging in this sort of discussion, it is natural to pose P as the more exogenous variable that the naughty governments can cause problems by messing with the markets by trying to fix rather than just letting the good old free market work is Pareto optimal magic by letting P go to its equilibrium.  All of this clearly puts Q on the sidelines, even if in later discussions things causing supply curves to shift by some exogenous influence on P will get considered.
> ________________________________________
> From: Societies for the History of Economics [[log in to unmask]] on behalf of Pat Gunning [[log in to unmask]]
> Sent: Saturday, February 05, 2011 11:03 PM
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Subject: Re: [SHOE] why Marshall transposed the axes
>
> Right, Barkely, I had written exactly the same thing. So I won't repeat
> it. I will try to add to it.
>
> In these days of mathematical economics, it is important to keep in mind
> that, IN ECONOMICS, both price and quantity are dependent variables.
> Every teacher who tries to make the demand-supply construct meaningful
> in the classroom knows that both of these variables are determined by
> interacting entrepreneurs (Marshall's undertakers). Marshall must have
> recognized this and he must have wanted to represent this, since as
> practically everyone knows, his main aim was to depict reality. It has
> been a while since I read Marshall and I did not directly look this up.
> But is it not true that his discussions that accompany his diagrams take
> account of both the price setting and quantity determining process?
> Stated differently, what I am saying is that Marshall used the diagrams
> as a teaching tool, not as part of an effort to build an airtight
> mathematical economics, like some of the math econ textbooks. The
> correct answer to the question asked by Steve's student is that
> economists use the diagram for a different purpose than mathematics.
>
> Yet the question remains concerning why this purpose cannot be achieved
> by a diagram that has quantity on the vertical axis.
>
> Now the interesting problem that arises in telling stories to fit the
> demand-supply framework is that quantity refers only to a specific good,
> A. That is all that it can represent. The same is true of the demand
> prices of the consumer. These are the consumer demand prices of A.
> Supply prices, however, if properly understood, represent more than the
> supply prices of A. They represent the entrepreneur role's accounting of
> the demands for all goods and of the profitability of employing the
> factors of production in other uses besides A. Marshall was no expert in
> representing scarcity in the large, as evidenced by the real cost
> doctrine that was refuted by the Austrians (specifically by Bohm
> Bawerk). However, he certainly appreciated that the cost of producing
> more of A is the sacrifice of the benefits that could be obtained if the
> factors of production were used in their next best alternative use.
> Thus, the supply curve represents a whole lot more than the numbers in a
> chart representing the supply schedule for A.
>
> Still, the question remains concerning why this fact (opportunity cost
> as calculated by the entrepreneur role) cannot be represented by a
> diagram that has quantity on the vertical axis.
>
> Which takes me back to my original remarks, which I will embellish.
>
> Quantity, something that can be counted on a preschoolers table,
> "belongs" on the horizontal axis. The eyes of the counter projects
> quantity from objects on the table out through window into the horizon
> over the ocean toward the setting sun.  This is a horizontal projection.
> Value (costs and benefits), an abstract concept that cannot be counted,
> belongs on the vertical axis. The complex economic calculation that is
> necessary to identify the supply prices also belongs on the vertical
> axis. The ponderer of these "ideas"  projects upward towards a distant
> star in the evening. And as the head tilts back, the eyes roll and the
> brain starts to work at more than mere counting.
>
>
> On 2/5/2011 1:56 PM, Rosser, John Barkley - rosserjb wrote:
>> Avi,
>>        Thanks for the info on Gordon's view.  However, even if he is right about Marshall's motivation, this does not make much sense to me.  CS and PS are areas in P-Q space, and it does not matter
>> a whit which one is on which axis for making such a measurement.  I would think that someone as mathematically sophisticated as Marshall would understand this.
>> Barkley
>> ________________________________________
>> From: Societies for the History of Economics [[log in to unmask]] on behalf of Avi J. Cohen [[log in to unmask]]
>> Sent: Saturday, February 05, 2011 9:55 AM
>> To: [log in to unmask]
>> Subject: [SHOE] why Marshall transposed the axes
>>
>> Barkley,
>>
>> Forgive my delay, but I only receive the SHOE list in digest form, once a day.
>>
>> The main reason is that Marshall privileged the geometric analysis and measurement of consumer and producer surplus, in order to asses welfare effects.
>>
>> Here are key summary quotes from Gordon:
>>
>> Main reason "why Marshall adopted the price-function form was that he wished to interpret the price consumers are willing to pay as a measurement of utility and the price producers are willing to accept as a commensurable measurement of real (disutility) cost of production. In order to understand Marshall's diagrammatic practice we must pay attention to his normative welfare economics" (32)
>>
>>
>> "Why did Marshall transpose Cournot's axes? The answer, in my view, lies in Marshall's early, and continuing, interest in consumer and producer surplus, that is, in what we today call 'normative welfare economics,' as one of the main objects of economic analysis. There is no substantive difference, as such, in labeling coordinate axes one way or the other, but Marshall, in my opinion, put quantity on the abcissa and price on the ordinate because in doing the analysis of 'maximum satisfaction' this would be in accord with the mathematical convention of using the abcissa for the independent, and the ordinate for the dependent, variables."  (35)
>>
>> Conclusion
>>
>> "A demand (supply) curve can be read two ways: as a statement of the quantities consumers (producers) will buy (sell) at different prices, or as a statement of the prices consumers (producers) are willing to pay (accept) for different quantities. According to the first reading, mathematical convention requires that quantity be treated as the dependent variable and price as the independent variable, and diagrammed accordingly, but the second reading requires the opposite treatment. In this paper I have shown that Marshall interpreted demand (supply) functions in the second of these two ways from his earliest work in economic theory, and have argued that his treatment was, from the beginning and throughout his subsequent work, motivated by his desire to use price as a money measurement of benefits and costs in order to construct a theory of surplus serviceable for welfare economics. Thus, Marshall's diagrammatic practice was neither idiosyncratic nor mistaken, when viewed in terms of what he regarded to be the main purpose of economic theory."  (43-4)
>>
>>
>> The article is very rich, and I encourage you to look at it. I have a pdf of the article, which I am happy to send to anyone who emails me (SHOE does not accept attachments). The digital version of EEJ does not go back to 1982.
>>
>> Best,
>>
>> Avi
>>
>>
>> From: "Rosser, John Barkley - rosserjb"<[log in to unmask]<mailto:[log in to unmask]>>
>> Date: February 4, 2011 9:32:17 AM EST
>> Subject: Re: why Marshall transposed the axes
>>
>> Avi,
>>        For those without quick access to this article, what is Gordon's answer roughly, please?
>> Barkley
>> ________________________________
>> From: Societies for the History of Economics [[log in to unmask]] on behalf of Avi J. Cohen [[log in to unmask]]
>> Sent: Friday, February 04, 2011 8:07 AM
>> To: [log in to unmask]<mailto:[log in to unmask]>
>> Subject: [SHOE] why Marshall transposed the axes
>>
>> Steve,
>>
>> See Scott Gordon, "Why Marshall Transposed the Axes"  Eastern Economic Journal 8 (1) Jan 1982: 31-45
>>
>> Best,
>>
>> Avi
>>
>>
> --
> Pat Gunning
> Professor of Economics
> Melbourne, Florida
> http://www.nomadpress.com/gunning/welcome.htm
>
>

-- 
Pat Gunning
Professor of Economics
Melbourne, Florida
http://www.nomadpress.com/gunning/welcome.htm

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