Roger Backhouse and Brad Bateman wrote:
>
> Would anyone deny that the reason why banks were bailed out was that
> it was believed that the entire banking system might get pulled down
> and that the consequences of such a failure would be a disaster? One
> can argue with details of the bail-out, but we are incredulous that
> anyone would deny that if all the insolvent and illiquid banks had
> been allowed to fail that the economy would have collapsed into
> Depression. Bernanke surely took the view that allowing so many banks
> to fail was a major policy error in 1929-30 and did not want to run
> the risk of something similar happening.
>
I agree that Bernanke and several others thought and perhaps continue to
think this way. It amazes me, however, why the institutional
differences between the early 1930s, before the establishment of the
FDIC and its Credit Union counterpart protecting (insuring) bank
deposits, appear to be lost on so many people, including Roger and
Brad. How many people have more than a quarter million dollars in an
account type with any one insured depository institution for them to be
afraid of losing their deposits from a bank failure? How long did the
lines that formed around IndyMac Bank in San Diego last in the fall of
2008? My judgment is that Bernanke learned the wrong lessons from the
1929-30 period and applied the wrong remedies this time around.
Roger and Brad also wrote:
> Our claim was that the deregulation that freed banks to make the
> disastrous investments they did was driven by a vision of unfettered
> capitalism that led to important regulations (such as the separation
> of investment and retail banking) being removed and the failure to
> impose reasonable capital requirements on depository institutions.
The U.S. bank deregulations in the 1990s were just getting the U.S.
banking system closer to what obtained (and continues to obtain) in
several other industrialized countries, including Canada, where
investment and retail banking are not as separated as the Glass-Steagall
Act imposed on the U.S. system. It is called "universal banking." In
any case, several large banks had found ways around the earlier
restrictions through other means, like bank holding companies.
It is also easy to claim that the Federal Reserve or the U.S. government
failed to impose "reasonable capital requirements on depository
institutions" and such failure was responsible for the financial
crisis. But what is a "reasonable capital requirement"? Indeed, the
Fed already classifies depository institutions by their capital-asset
ratios into different categories of "capital adequacy". The interest
rates at which depository institutions were able to borrow from the
Fed's Discount Window were also determined partly by banks' capital
adequacy. So, that "supervision" was already in place before the Fed
went wild with its doling out of new money to institutions, including
those that previously didn't qualify for such privileges such as
insurance companies.
The problem during the early 1930s was a shortage of cash to meet
depositors' demands. We need to be clear about the difference between
cash and credit. Although central bank money (cash) generates
additional credit, most of an economy's credit derives from the public's
savings with depository institutions. Alas, Keynes's definition of
money to conflate the two concepts, money and credit, appears to make it
hard for some people to recognize the difference.
As I recall, Hank Paulson, the then Treasury Secretary, pressured some
big banks to take the $25 billion they were being offered, as if the
banks needed such government money in order to be able to lend to
businesses. If we would remember that banks depend mostly upon the
deposits of their customers in order lend, we would be less inclined to
believe the claims that supported such bail outs. We would also be less
inclined to blame "capital inadequacy" for the crisis.
I also find it quite interesting that Roger and Brad are silent on the
issue of "equitable wealth distribution" which they were seeking from an
economic system, but which "unfettered capitalism" is unable to
produce. I don't think technical qualifications were required to have
pointed out the misguided nature of most of the occupiers' demands in
their /New York Times/ article.
James Ahiakpor
--
James C.W. Ahiakpor, Ph.D.
Professor
Department of Economics
California State University, East Bay
Hayward, CA 94542
(510) 885-3137 Work
(510) 885-4796 Fax (Not Private)
|