It is generally agreed that where there are two distinct objectives,
there should be two distinct policies, with each policy instrument
targeting the objective upon which it has the greater influence.
Interest rate policy impacts both the GDP price index and the index
of asset price. But what if these two indices are moving in opposite
directions?
Notoriously, in the summer of 1929 policy makers, fixated on asset
prices and the real bills or commercial loan theory of banking as
their guide, raised interest rates sharply just as the real economy
was turning down and despite consumer and wholesale prices that had
been steady or falling for some years. Interest rate policy and
monetary tightening accentuated the real downturn which then helped
to puncture the stock market with calamitous consequences.
Thus asset price bubbles require separate measures (e.g., land value
taxation; higher downpayments on mortgage finance; or
counter-cyclical capital-adequacy requirements) while maintaining
interest rates and money at levels consistent with non-inflationary
full employment growth.
Roger Sandilands