In answer to Roy Weintraub, I think discussion of the role of bank
reserves is exactly where reference to the history of economic
thought is most desperately called for. Would that the Bank of
England had remembered Bagehot in August-September 2007!
A propos James Ahiakpor's latest post, banks do indeed create money,
because indeed "money is what money does", and demand deposits are
transferred electronically to settle debts without the intermediation
of cash, and banks do create demand deposits. QED.
True, banks initially create demand deposits by making loans via the
cash base. But then the money multiplier comes into play, under the
fractional reserve system. But having created M1 (and, indirectly, M2
also), there are times, like now, when they stop relending
(re-circulating) loans as they are repaid. This takes money out of
circulation as they then hold a higher proportion of their
(declining) asset base as reserves instead of loans.
That was known as liquidationism in the 1930s, and absent Fed support
the money supply collapsed. Liquidationism is also what is happening
now, with the credit crunch. Fortunately, this time the Fed has been
intervening to hold up the cash base by bailing out the banks,
permitting them to recapitalise without further destroying lending
and spending.
Apparently James believes that only the cash base (his "classical"
money) matters. If that holds up, is its velocity irrelevant? Why
then is the world in recession? Obviously because MV has fallen even
if M has not.
So we still need Keynes (as well as Hawtrey, and Hume brought up to
date); that is, _right_ lessons from the history of thought.
Roger Sandilands
|