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Date: | Mon, 16 Nov 2009 15:17:19 -0500 |
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Huseyin,
Friedman argued that velocity is stable because consumption depends
upon permanent income rather than current income. Marginal
propensities to consume and save and speculative demand for merely
holding money indicate that money demand is variable and sensitive to
cyclical fluctuations. Permanent income theory indicates that people
ignore transitory changes in income- hence the MPC has no stable
value and money demand will stay more or less in line with long term
consumption plans, which are based on expected lifetime income and
insulated from cycles through rational long term financial
management. Since velocity is the inverse of money demand, stable
money demand implies stable velocity. This does not imply that
velocity is literally constant, but rather that it changes more due
to financial innovation (i.e. ATM machines) than with general
economic conditions.
Part of the confusion over Friedman's views stem from the fact that
he did not spell out all of the connections between velocity, money
demand, permanent and transitory income, multipliers and such in one
place. His work on the quantity theory and permanent income are often
seen as separate contributions. There is an oral tradition that
spells these connections out: Friedman taught his students (i.e.
George Maesich) who taught their students (i.e Steve Cunningham) who
taught their students (i.e. Doug MacKenzie)...
Doug Mackenzie
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