Thomas Humphrey wrote:
> 1. James Ahiakpor claims that Keynes bamboozled and hoodwinked
> generations of economists into believing that Wicksell's version of
> the cumulative process (CP) was definitive. In so doing, James both
> overstates Keynes's persuasiveness and understates economists'
> intelligence. The idea that Keynes could fool so many economists for
> so long is ludicrous. After all, economists, who famously preach the
> gospel of rationality, must be given credit for being perceptive and
> rational themselves. If the economics professions christens the CP
> model with Wicksell's name, it must be because the profession finds
> his statement indeed definitive, not because Keynes fooled them into
> believing so.
>
I thought Tom's comment was much too loaded with misunderstanding that I
would rather let someone else respond to him. That hasn't happened. So
as not to let his characterization of what I've been saying stand, let
me explain how wrong he is.
First, I think he misuses the word "bamboozle." The /Webster's
Dictionary/ defines bamboozle as "to conceal one's true motive from esp.
by elaborately feigning good intentions" (1980, p. 86). Now, I don't
think Keynes set out deliberately to deceive economists. He wrote what
he believed at the time to be true. When he later changed his mind on
some points, he said so. That is why he could later declare that he was
not a Keynesian. I think "misled" is a more accurate word to describe
what he did to many economists.
Keynes was persuasive enough as to have caused Milton Friedman, one of
his fiercest critics to declare in print (1968, p.15) that "'in one
sense, we are all Keynesians now; in another, no one is a Keynesian any
longer.' We all use the Keynesian language and apparatus; none of us
any longer accepts the initial Keynesian conclusions." In another
publication (1970), Friedman calls Keynes's /General Theory/ "a great
book"! But this is the very book that contains the conclusions
Friedman's life's work was dedicated to refuting.
Keynes's /General Theory /(pp. 183 n., 242) refers favorably to
"Wicksell's 'natural' rate of interest," but the book thrashes
Marshall's restatement of the classical theory of interest. Keynes in
that book also falsely accuses the classics, including David Ricardo, as
having assumed the existence of full employment always in their theory
of interest (as well as theories of the price level, inflation,
force-saving doctrine, and Say's Law). And to whom does Friedman refer
in his Presidential address to economists in 1967 (/AER/ 1968, p. 7) for
our getting to know about the "natural rate" of interest? Wicksell!
Had Friedman known that the "natural rate" idea goes all the way back to
Adam Smith, the person whose image is on the tie he liked to wear, why
wouldn't he have credited Smith?
Was Friedman a brilliant economist? You bet, he was. Such was his
reputation that, while introducing Friedman at the Western Economic
Association meetings at Las Vegas in June 1984, James Buchanan described
his influence thus: "If the whole economics profession takes one
position on an issue and Milton takes the opposite position, then the
economics profession is equally divided!"
Need I mention other brilliant economists who have been misled by
Keynes? Perhaps, one more would suffice. Take Paul Samuelson, who
popularized in economics such Keynesian mythologies as the "paradox of
thrift" and the positive budget expenditure multiplier effect with
algebra (equations) and geometry (graphs). The American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act (2009) otherwise known as the "Stimulus" was founded on
the latter principle!
I don't think there's any shame in acknowledging having been misled.
Indeed, it is an improvement when one recognizes that one has been
misled. One then stops believing the deception or mistaken belief. It
is rather a problem when one does not recognize the deception. A once
famous economist, and a previous ardent Keynesian, brilliant enough to
have been an editor of the /American Economic Review/ said this to me in
1995 after about 30 minutes of discussion (or debate) over the correct
meaning of saving: "James, it took me 40 years to recognize how
hoodwinked I was by Keynes!" Would that many more people took much less
time to recognize the Keynesian deceptions or errors in modern
macroeconomics.
James Ahiakpor
--
James C.W. Ahiakpor, Ph.D.
Professor
Department of Economics
California State University, East Bay
Hayward, CA 94542
(510) 885-3137 Work
(510) 885-7175 Fax (Not Private)
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