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Wed Jun 21 20:47:09 2006 |
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William Easterly relies on his own research as support for parts of
chapter 13 from "The Elusive Quest for Growth", although it isn't only
income inequality that hinders economic growth. Rather it is mixed in
with other elements that tend to divide societies. In his paper "The
Middle Class Consensus and Economic Development", he finds greater
homogeneity of the population and a greater share of income going to the
middle class is associated with higher incomes and higher economic
growth. Here is the abstract for the paper:
"Modern political economy stresses "society's polarization" as a
determinant of development outcomes. Among the most common sources of
social polarization are class divisions and ethnic divisions. A middle
class consensus is defined as a high share of income for the middle
class and a low degree of ethnic divisons. A middle class consensus
distinguishes development successes from failures. The paper links the
existence of a middle class consensus to exogenous country
characteristics like resource endowments, along the lines of the
provocative thesis of Engerman and Sokoloff 1997 that tropical commodity
exporters are more unequal than other societies. This hypothesis is
confirmed with cross-country data. This paper exploits this association
using resource endowments as instruments for inequality. A higher share
of income for the middle class and lower ethnic divisions are
empirically associated with higher income and higher growth. These
associations are robust to a number of alternative controls. A middle
class consensus is also associated with more education, better health,
better infrastructure, better economic policies, less political
instability, less civil war and ethnic minorities at risk, more social
'modernization' and more democracy."
He refined this thesis in a later paper titled "Social Cohesion,
Institutions and Growth", which will be published next month. Now he
argues that social cohesion, as measured by income inequality and ethnic
fractionalization, endogenously determine institutional quality, which
in turn determines growth. The papers are available on the research page
of his website:
http://www.nyu.edu/fas/institute/dri/Easterly/Research.html
Brad Andrew
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