It seems to me that Bruce Littleboy's questions point to the acceptance
in modern macroeconomics Keynes's separating of the price-level
determination from the supply and demand for money (cash) -- the
classical Quantity Theory of Money-- in his /General Theory/ (1936).
Were this not so, it would easily be recognized that variations in asset
prices should not be included in estimations of the price level.
People spend their net incomes in three categories, consumption,
purchasing financial assets (saving), and hoarding cash. Since
financial assets are instruments by which borrowers (their suppliers)
obtain the savings of income earners (the purchasers) to spend,
variations in these flows do not change the prices of goods and
services, given the demand for (hoarding) and supply of cash (from the
central bank). Also, interest rates are inversely related to the prices
of financial assets. Thus, their variations do not affect the price
level, given the demand for and supply of cash.
Now given the supply of cash, variations in its demand affect the prices
of both goods and services and financial assets. If the public reduces
its level of hoarding, prices will rise (and interest rates fall), given
the quantity of cash supplied. Prices fall when the public increases
its level of hoarding (and interest rates rise), given the available
quantity of cash.
None of the above says anything about monetary policy -- changes in the
quantity of money (cash). But increases in the quantity of money will
increase the prices of goods and services (and financial assets), given
the demand for cash (hoarding), and vice versa. This is why some
analysts, including the Austrians, seek to link variations in interest
rates closely with monetary policy. Yet interest rates may rise or fall
independently of what a central bank does. Similarly, the price level
may rise or fall independently of what a central bank does. Of course,
for the price level to rise persistently and at high rates, a central
bank's excessive money (cash) creation would have to be there.
In the current issue of the /Freeman/, Henderson and Humel, dispute with
data claims by some free-market adherents that Alan Greenspan was
culpable in creating asset bubbles during his tenure.
James Ahiakpor
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