Robin Neill writes:
>
> Savings = Investment. They dont cause each other. Something
I'm not even willing to grant that equality unless we clarify whether
we are talking "ex ante" or "ex post." Of course they are equal ex
post; whatever is invested must have been saved. The crucial question
is whether they are always, sometimes, or never equal *ex ante* and
under what conditions (and policies/regimes) those possible outcomes
occur. The ex ante/ex post distinction is central to what one might
call "Wicksellian" macro (and before), and is more clear in Keynes in
The Treatise than in The GT, where any acknowledgement of that
distinction seems to have disappeared.
The interesting questions for me are: 1) how and why do I and S diverge
ex ante? and 2) what happens during the process of turning ex ante
divergences into ex post equalities? Both Keynes of the General Theory
and IS-LM "Keynesianism" diverted us (in Leland Yeager's words) away
from these important and interesting questions by defining I=S without
making the ex ante/ex post distinction.
Steve Horwitz
St. Lawrence University
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